Page 31 - Linkpin 2024-25
P. 31

Rethinking Currency
                          Strength:                                              Rohan Kekare


           Why a comparison of INR                               Talent Acquisition Specialist, Godrej Properties Ltd
                                                                             rohankekare07@gmail.com
                to the USD is Wrong                                               Batch- 2022-24









                 The Indian Rupee (INR) often comes under        Understanding Currency Valuation

          scrutiny for its depreciation against the US Dollar           A  currency’s  strength  is  influenced  by
          (USD). Each time the INR hits a new low, media         multiple  factors, including economic  growth,
                                                                 inflation,  interest  rates,  and  trade  balances.  While
          reports trigger panic, implying economic instability.   the  USD  exchange  rate  is  significant,  it  does  not
          But is this comparison truly fair? Evaluating  the     solely define a nation’s economic health. The USD’s
          rupee against a single currency—especially  one        unique position as the world’s reserve currency

          as dominant as the USD—provides an incomplete          makes it an imprecise benchmark for assessing the
                                                                 rupee’s true  strength. A  more  accurate  measure  is
          picture. A more balanced approach would involve        the  Real  Effective  Exchange  Rate  (REER),  which
          assessing the rupee’s performance against a broader    evaluates  a  currency’s value  against  a  weighted

          range of global currencies.                            basket of multiple currencies, adjusted for inflation.
                                                                 If the INR remains stable or appreciates  in terms
                                                                 of REER, its decline against the USD  does not
                                                                 necessarily indicate economic weakness.


                                                                 The Global Strength of the USD
                                                                        The rupee often appears weak due to the
                                                                 relative  strength  of the  USD.  The  global  demand
                                                                 for the dollar remains consistently high for several
                                                                 reasons:

                                                                 • Reserve Currency Status: Central banks worldwide
                                                                 hold USD as a key component of their foreign
                                                                 exchange reserves.

                                                                 • Petrodollar System: Most global oil transactions
                                                                 are conducted in USD, ensuring sustained demand.

                                                                                                                       31
   26   27   28   29   30   31   32   33   34